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Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

So preist der Markt „Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers" gerade ein — Live-Quoten, Anbieter-Vergleich, Quellen aus dem Polymarket-Orderbuch.

O/U 204.5 95% O/U 206.5 93% O/U 208.5 92% O/U 210.5 89% Volumen: $1.2M Liquidität: $3.6M Schließt: 26 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Markt ansehen →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Markt ansehen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Markt ansehen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Markt ansehen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Markt ansehen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
O/U 204.595%
O/U 206.593%
O/U 208.592%
O/U 210.589%
O/U 212.587%
Cavaliers O/U 106.586%
O/U 214.584%
James Harden: Assists O/U 3.584%
1H O/U 101.583%
O/U 216.581%
1H O/U 103.581%
Cavaliers O/U 108.581%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.580%
Timberwolves O/U 103.580%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.580%
O/U 218.578%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 1.578%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.577%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.576%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.576%
1H O/U 105.576%
Cavaliers O/U 110.576%
Timberwolves O/U 105.575%
O/U 220.574%
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.572%
O/U 222.571%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.571%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.571%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.571%
Cavaliers O/U 112.571%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.570%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.570%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.570%
1H O/U 107.570%
1H O/U 99.570%
3Q O/U 56.570%
4Q O/U 58.570%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 3.569%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 5.569%
Timberwolves O/U 107.569%
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.568%
3Q O/U 54.568%
O/U 224.567%
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 3.567%
Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.567%
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 1.566%
James Harden: Points O/U 9.565%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.564%
James Harden: Points O/U 14.564%
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 1.564%
Cavaliers O/U 114.564%
O/U 226.563%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.563%
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 1.563%
Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.563%
Timberwolves O/U 109.563%
Spread -1.562%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.562%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.562%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.562%
1H O/U 109.562%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.562%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.561%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.561%
Spread -2.560%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.560%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.559%
James Harden: Assists O/U 5.559%
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.559%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.559%
2Q O/U 51.559%
O/U 228.558%
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 1.558%
Cavaliers O/U 116.558%
Timberwolves O/U 111.557%
Spread -3.556%
1H Spread -1.556%
1Q O/U 63.556%
1H O/U 111.555%
3Q O/U 58.555%
4Q O/U 56.555%
O/U 230.554%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.554%
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.554%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.554%
Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.554%
Spread -4.553%
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.553%
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 1.553%
James Harden: Assists O/U 1.552%
Timberwolves O/U 113.552%
Timberwolves 1H O/U 54.552%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.552%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.551%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.551%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
1H O/U 97.551%
2Q O/U 55.551%
Cavaliers O/U 118.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.550%
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 4.550%
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.550%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 1.550%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.550%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.550%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -6.550%
1Q O/U 65.550%
1Q O/U 67.550%
1Q O/U 69.550%
1Q O/U 45.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q O/U 64.550%
3Q O/U 66.550%
3Q O/U 62.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.550%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.550%
Timberwolves 2H O/U 53.550%
Timberwolves 2H O/U 55.550%
Timberwolves 2H O/U 57.550%
Timberwolves 2H O/U 59.550%
Timberwolves 2H O/U 61.550%
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 29.550%
Spread -5.549%
O/U 232.549%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 9.549%
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.549%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.549%
Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.549%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.549%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 0.549%
Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 1.549%
Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 2.549%
Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.549%
Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.549%
Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.549%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.549%
James Harden: Steals O/U 0.549%
James Harden: Steals O/U 1.549%
James Harden: Steals O/U 2.549%
LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.549%
LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.549%
LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.549%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.549%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.549%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.549%
Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.549%
Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.549%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 3.549%
3Q O/U 60.549%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.549%
Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 0.549%
Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 1.549%
Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 2.549%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Race to 1048%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.548%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.548%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.548%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.548%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.548%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.548%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.548%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.548%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 44.548%
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.548%
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.548%
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 34.548%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 19.548%
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.548%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.548%
1H O/U 113.548%
James Harden: Points O/U 34.548%
1Q O/U 57.548%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 29.548%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 7.548%
O/U 233.547%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 19.547%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 1.547%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.547%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 34.547%
1H Spread -3.547%
Spread -6.546%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.546%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.546%
2Q O/U 53.546%
Race to 2045%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.545%
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.545%
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.545%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.545%
2Q Spread -2.545%
Race to 3044%
O/U 234.544%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.544%
1Q Spread -2.544%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.543%
Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 1.543%
Timberwolves 1H O/U 56.543%
Timberwolves O/U 115.543%
Cavaliers O/U 120.543%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.542%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.542%
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.542%
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.542%
LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.542%
1H O/U 115.542%
2Q O/U 57.542%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.542%
Spread -7.541%
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.541%
O/U 236.540%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.540%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 39.540%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.540%
1Q O/U 59.540%
Spread -8.539%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.539%
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 3.539%
1H Moneyline39%
1H Spread -5.539%
Timberwolves O/U 117.539%
Cavaliers O/U 122.539%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.538%
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.538%
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 1.538%
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers37%
Spread -9.537%
O/U 238.537%
Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.537%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.537%
Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.537%
1H O/U 117.537%
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.536%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.536%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 9.536%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.536%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.536%
1H Spread -0.536%
Timberwolves 1H O/U 52.536%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.535%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.535%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 19.535%
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.535%
1Q Spread -1.535%
2Q Spread -1.535%
Timberwolves 1H O/U 58.535%
Spread -1.534%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.534%
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.534%
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.534%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.534%
Cavaliers O/U 124.534%
Spread -10.533%
James Harden: Points O/U 19.533%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 14.533%
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.533%
Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.533%
Timberwolves O/U 119.533%
James Harden: Points O/U 16.532%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 8.532%
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.532%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.532%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.531%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.531%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.531%
1H Spread -7.531%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.530%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.530%
James Harden: Assists O/U 11.530%
1H Spread -2.530%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.529%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 24.529%
1Q O/U 61.529%
Timberwolves 1H O/U 60.529%
Spread -3.528%
Spread -12.528%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.528%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.528%
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.528%
1H O/U 119.528%
Timberwolves O/U 121.528%
Cavaliers O/U 126.528%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.527%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.527%
2Q O/U 59.527%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.526%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.526%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.526%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.526%
4Q Spread -1.526%
4Q O/U 60.526%
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.525%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.525%
3Q Spread -1.525%
Spread -5.524%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.524%
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.524%
1H Spread -9.524%
Spread -14.523%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.523%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.523%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.523%
1H O/U 121.523%
Timberwolves O/U 123.523%
Cavaliers O/U 128.523%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.522%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.522%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.522%
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.522%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.522%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.522%
1H Spread -4.522%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.522%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.521%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.521%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.521%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.520%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.520%
1H O/U 123.520%
Spread -16.519%
Spread -7.519%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.519%
Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.519%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.518%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.518%
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.518%
1H Spread -11.518%
O/U 250.517%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.517%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.517%
Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.517%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.517%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.517%
1H Spread -6.517%
Timberwolves O/U 125.517%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.516%
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 5.516%
1H Spread -13.516%
Spread -9.515%
Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 3.515%
Spread -18.514%
O/U 252.514%
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 5.514%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.514%
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.514%
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.514%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.514%
1H Spread -8.514%
1H O/U 125.514%
1H O/U 127.514%
1H O/U 129.514%
O/U 254.513%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.513%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 34.513%
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.513%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.513%
Spread -11.512%
Spread -20.512%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.512%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.511%
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.511%
1H Spread -15.511%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.510%
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.510%
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.510%
1H Spread -10.510%
Spread -13.59%
Spread -22.59%
O/U 256.59%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.59%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.59%
James Harden: Points O/U 29.59%
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.59%
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.59%
James Harden: Assists O/U 9.59%
O/U 258.58%
James Harden: Points O/U 24.58%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.58%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.58%
1H Spread -12.58%
1H Spread -17.58%
Spread -24.57%
O/U 260.57%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.57%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.57%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.57%
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.57%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.57%
Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 3.57%
1H Spread -19.57%
Spread -15.56%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -26.56%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 9.56%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.56%
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.56%
1H Spread -14.56%
Spread -32.55%
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 5.55%
1H Spread -16.55%
Spread -19.54%
Spread -28.54%
Spread -30.54%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 19.54%
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 19.54%
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 7.54%
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 7.54%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 3.54%
Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 5.54%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.53%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.53%
Spread -21.52%
Spread -23.52%

Markt-Kontext

Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 95% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If th…

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet O/U 204.5 mit 95% bei "Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers".

O/U 204.5 95% Andere 5%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.2M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Bei Auflösung tritt der UMA-Oracle-Mechanismus in Aktion: ein Vorschlagender stellt das Ergebnis mit einem Bond ein, jeder Token-Halter kann es innerhalb von zwei Stunden disputieren. Ohne Dispute wird das Ergebnis akzeptiert und der Smart Contract zahlt sofort aus.

Auf Kalshi (CFTC-reguliert) erfolgt die Auflösung über die hauseigene Clearing-Engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settelt nach Match-Ende in der jeweiligen Konto-Währung. Manifold zahlt keine Cash-Beträge — nur die platforme-eigene "Mana"-Währung.

Häufige Fragen

Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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