Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Jaguars O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| O/U 24.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| Spread -1.5 | 86% |
| Jaguars O/U 19.5 | 86% |
| Spread -2.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 30.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| O/U 32.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 79% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| Jaguars O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 12.5 | 76% |
| Spread -5.5 | 75% |
| Spread -6.5 | 72% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 13.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 36.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 61% |
| Spread -9.5 | 60% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| O/U 38.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| Spread -10.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 40.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 52% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Jaguars O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| O/U 42.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 39% |
| O/U 44.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 46.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -19.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| O/U 48.5 | 26% |
| Spread -20.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 23% |
| O/U 50.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| Spread -21.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| O/U 52.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 15% |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars | 14% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -1.5 | 12% |
| O/U 56.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 6% |
| O/U 60.5 | 6% |
| Spread -5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -6.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 3% |
| Spread -8.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: eagles vs. jaguars. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will r…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $4.4M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Eagles vs. Jaguars über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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