Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 99% |
| Chargers O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 96% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 94% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 83% |
| Chargers O/U 13.5 | 82% |
| Chargers O/U 16.5 | 82% |
| Spread -1.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| Chargers O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| Chargers O/U 12.5 | 60% |
| Spread -5.5 | 58% |
| O/U 34.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 36.5 | 54% |
| Broncos O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Broncos O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 51% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Broncos O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Broncos O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Broncos vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 44% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Chargers O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| Broncos O/U 12.5 | 36% |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| O/U 38.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| O/U 40.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 24% |
| Chargers O/U 23.5 | 23% |
| Chargers O/U 26.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Broncos vs. Chargers | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| O/U 42.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 44.5 | 9% |
| Broncos O/U 23.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Broncos O/U 26.5 | 7% |
| Broncos O/U 27.5 | 7% |
| O/U 46.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| O/U 48.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| O/U 50.5 | 3% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| O/U 54.5 | 2% |
| O/U 56.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -8.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| O/U 52.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Broncos vs. Chargers — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Broncos and Chargers, scheduled for October 11 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. This market will resolve to "Charg…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.9M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Broncos vs. Chargers" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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