Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -8.5 | 86% |
| Spread -4.5 | 85% |
| Spread -5.5 | 85% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 82% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| Spread -9.5 | 76% |
| Spread -10.5 | 74% |
| South Florida O/U 32.5 | 74% |
| Spread -11.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 71% |
| Spread -12.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| Spread -13.5 | 68% |
| Spread -14.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 65% |
| Spread -15.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 62% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 62% |
| South Florida O/U 29.5 | 62% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| Spread -18.5 | 56% |
| Spread -19.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| Spread -36.5 | 53% |
| Spread -37.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 53% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| Kent State O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kent State O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| O/U 47.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -22.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| South Florida O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| Spread -23.5 | 41% |
| Spread -24.5 | 39% |
| Spread -34.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| Spread -25.5 | 35% |
| Spread -26.5 | 35% |
| Spread -27.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 31% |
| Spread -28.5 | 28% |
| Kent State O/U 32.5 | 27% |
| Spread -30.5 | 25% |
| O/U 57.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 21% |
| O/U 53.5 | 20% |
| O/U 55.5 | 20% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Kent State O/U 20.5 | 20% |
| Spread -33.5 | 19% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| 1H Moneyline | 11% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida | 9% |
| Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| O/U 69.5 | 6% |
| O/U 71.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: kent state vs. south florida 92%. In the upcoming college football game between Kent State and South Florida, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kent State" if Kent State win the ga…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $122K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Kent State vs. South Florida" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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