Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| Spread -0.5 | 88% |
| LSU O/U 23.5 | 88% |
| Spread -1.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 85% |
| Spread -2.5 | 84% |
| Spread -3.5 | 82% |
| Spread -4.5 | 80% |
| Spread -5.5 | 78% |
| Spread -6.5 | 78% |
| O/U 43.5 | 78% |
| O/U 45.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -7.5 | 72% |
| O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 49.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -10.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 66% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| LSU 1H O/U 16.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spread -12.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| Spread -13.5 | 63% |
| O/U 51.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 62% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -14.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 59% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -16.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| LSU O/U 35.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| LSU O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 48% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Spread -20.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| Mississippi State O/U 20.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 35% |
| Mississippi State O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| O/U 67.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 1H Moneyline | 19% |
| O/U 71.5 | 18% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 13% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU | 12% |
| Spread -1.5 | 12% |
| Spread -0.5 | 12% |
| Spread -2.5 | 11% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Mississippi State vs. LSU — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 92%. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and LSU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. This…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $477K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Mississippi State vs. LSU auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Mississippi State vs. LSU" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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