Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Georgia Southern 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Georgia Southern 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Georgia Southern 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 91% |
| Spread -0.5 | 88% |
| Spread -2.5 | 85% |
| Spread -1.5 | 85% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 20.5 | 84% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| Spread -5.5 | 77% |
| Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| O/U 35.5 | 73% |
| Spread -6.5 | 72% |
| Spread -8.5 | 66% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| O/U 41.5 | 55% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| O/U 43.5 | 38% |
| Spread -13.5 | 37% |
| Georgia Southern O/U 26.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 29% |
| O/U 45.5 | 29% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| O/U 47.5 | 25% |
| Spread -20.5 | 20% |
| O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| O/U 51.5 | 14% |
| Old Dominion O/U 23.5 | 14% |
| O/U 53.5 | 10% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: georgia southern vs. old dominion 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Georgia Southern and Old Dominion, scheduled for October 15 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Georgia Southern" if Georgia So…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $468K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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