Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| O/U 40.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| O/U 42.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Saints vs. Giants | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Saints vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 58.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 17% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 62.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Safety? | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 96% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Saints vs. Giants. In the upcoming NFL football game between Saints and Giants, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game. This market will resolve to "Giants" if…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $255K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Saints vs. Giants über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Saints vs. Giants" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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