Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 99% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 99% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 97% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 97% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 97% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 97% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 97% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 97% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 97% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 94% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 94% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 90% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 90% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 89% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 88% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 87% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 86% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 86% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 83% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 81% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 80% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 80% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 78% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 78% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 78% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 77% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 75% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 73% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 72% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 72% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 71% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 71% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 70% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 68% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 66% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 65% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 64% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 63% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 61% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 60% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 59% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 59% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 58% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 58% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 58% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 57% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 56% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 56% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 55% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 55% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 55% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| Chris Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 54% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 54% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| Austin Hooper: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Skyy Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 53% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 52% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 52% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Drake London: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Redman: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Muse: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Drake London: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Drake London: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 41% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 28% |
| Drake London: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 20% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Bijan Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 18% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 16% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Charlie Woerner: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 4% |
| Brian Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: falcons vs. packers - player props 100%. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Falcons and Packers, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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