Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| O/U 40.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| O/U 42.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Saints vs. Giants | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 40% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Saints vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 58.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 17% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 62.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Safety? | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Saints vs. Giants. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 51% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $255K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Saints vs. Giants über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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