Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 88% |
| O/U 28.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State | 75% |
| Spread -0.5 | 75% |
| Spread -1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 73% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| O/U 40.5 | 69% |
| 1H Moneyline | 69% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 42.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 44.5 | 58% |
| Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 46.5 | 53% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Utah O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Iowa State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Utah O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| O/U 48.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Iowa State O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| Utah 1H O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| Spread -11.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -13.5 | 39% |
| O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 52.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Spread -15.5 | 34% |
| O/U 58.5 | 34% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| Iowa State O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -16.5 | 30% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -22.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Utah O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| Spread -18.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -28.5 | 24% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| O/U 64.5 | 18% |
| O/U 62.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -24.5 | 13% |
| O/U 68.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 8% |
Markt-Kontext
Utah vs. Iowa State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 75% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T19:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $84K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Utah vs. Iowa State über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Utah vs. Iowa State" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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