Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| New Mexico State O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 58% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston | 57% |
| O/U 43.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| New Mexico State O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| Sam Houston O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| New Mexico State O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Sam Houston O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| O/U 53.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 28% |
| Sam Houston O/U 35.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Sam Houston O/U 26.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| O/U 59.5 | 20% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| O/U 63.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 57% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-22T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $151K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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