Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| Spread -0.5 | 82% |
| Spread -1.5 | 82% |
| UConn O/U 23.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| UConn O/U 26.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 75% |
| O/U 43.5 | 75% |
| Spread -4.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| O/U 45.5 | 69% |
| Spread -6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 47.5 | 64% |
| UConn O/U 29.5 | 64% |
| UConn 1H O/U 12.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 62% |
| Spread -8.5 | 61% |
| O/U 49.5 | 60% |
| UConn 1H O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| Spread -10.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| O/U 51.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| UConn 1H O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| UConn O/U 32.5 | 52% |
| Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| UConn 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| UMass vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UConn 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UConn 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UConn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. UConn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. UConn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UConn O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 49% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 49% |
| UMass vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| UMass vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| UMass O/U 26.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 48% |
| UMass vs. UConn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| UMass O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| UMass O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| UMass O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Spread -15.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| O/U 55.5 | 43% |
| UMass O/U 32.5 | 42% |
| Spread -17.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| O/U 57.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 39% |
| UConn O/U 35.5 | 39% |
| Spread -18.5 | 35% |
| Spread -19.5 | 35% |
| UMass O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| Spread -20.5 | 33% |
| O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| Spread -22.5 | 27% |
| Spread -24.5 | 24% |
| 1H Moneyline | 24% |
| O/U 63.5 | 23% |
| O/U 67.5 | 23% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -27.5 | 19% |
| UMass vs. UConn | 18% |
| Spread -0.5 | 18% |
| Spread -1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -30.5 | 16% |
| Spread -28.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| Spread -34.5 | 10% |
| Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| O/U 75.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: UMass vs. UConn — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 88%. In the upcoming college football game between UMass and UConn, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "UConn" if …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $107K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: UMass vs. UConn über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: UMass vs. UConn" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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