Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 95% |
| O/U 37.5 | 93% |
| Texas Tech O/U 20.5 | 89% |
| O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| O/U 41.5 | 84% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 75% |
| O/U 47.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| O/U 49.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 11.5 | 69% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 51.5 | 65% |
| Spread -7.5 | 60% |
| O/U 53.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Spread -8.5 | 58% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Cincinnati O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Cincinnati O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 32% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 31% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 26% |
| O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Spread -0.5 | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 71.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 15% |
| O/U 73.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 95% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati. In the upcoming college football game between Texas Tech and Cincinnati, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game. This market will re…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $83K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati" auf PolyGram handeln
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