Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| O/U 37.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College | 76% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 74% |
| Spread -1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| O/U 43.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 32% |
| Boston College O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| O/U 75.5 | 22% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| O/U 71.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 5% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Boston College" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game. This market wi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $321K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Boston College auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Pittsburgh vs. Boston College" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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