Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Louisville vs. Syracuse | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Louisville vs. Syracuse: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Louisville vs. Syracuse: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Louisville vs. Syracuse: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Syracuse Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Louisville vs. Syracuse: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Syracuse O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Syracuse Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisville vs. Syracuse: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Louisville vs. Syracuse: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Louisville vs. Syracuse — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and Syracuse, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. This market will reso…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $121K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
Jetzt „Prognose: Louisville vs. Syracuse" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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