Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 67% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State | 65% |
| O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| O/U 36.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| O/U 40.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| O/U 38.5 | 40% |
| O/U 42.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| O/U 46.5 | 37% |
| O/U 48.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| O/U 52.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| O/U 64.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 44.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Arkansas State O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 50.5 | 12% |
| O/U 54.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| O/U 58.5 | 6% |
| O/U 56.5 | 5% |
| O/U 68.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Kennesaw State and Arkansas State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kennesaw State" if Kennesaw State win the game. T…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $171K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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